Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 172.057684 198.986425 229.812894 267.945177 314.167315 368.788837 438.825364
2025-08-17 135.752875 169.654464 212.436161 271.271036 351.490869 459.168227 618.366748
2025-08-24 114.191623 150.233516 198.804152 270.718412 377.466616 535.146162 795.941666
2025-08-31 99.678710 136.461091 188.647951 270.636622 401.177381 610.369975 992.455614
2025-09-07 90.123842 127.653834 183.325665 275.489874 431.827483 702.049757 1245.024270
2025-09-14 79.058946 114.882617 169.846506 264.584328 433.489085 743.757816 1418.607123
2025-09-21 72.287429 107.678522 163.796285 264.465493 453.176004 822.242430 1695.292255
2025-09-28 67.036599 102.160768 159.581218 266.529273 476.856538 914.157048 2039.827726
2025-10-05 65.010807 101.574446 163.390595 283.457747 532.811499 1089.486454 2675.594585
2025-10-12 62.877369 100.506940 166.125660 298.676510 588.619475 1282.428716 3473.049487
2025-10-19 58.646221 95.339805 160.819592 297.061561 607.168979 1390.654455 4078.619918
2025-10-26 55.944419 92.590514 159.614167 303.588445 645.862519 1564.624425 5032.783458
2025-11-02 52.216613 87.969722 154.985287 303.653085 673.193184 1730.078577 6154.987804
2025-11-09 49.212263 84.435834 152.155983 307.533604 712.483484 1953.268559 7792.809708
2025-11-16 46.102503 80.363516 147.708486 306.888781 739.739402 2152.502056 9586.382089
2025-11-23 43.387679 76.772811 143.792540 306.793348 768.748713 2374.357607 11857.747958
2025-11-30 41.437802 74.488596 142.332752 312.457988 816.746636 2696.247086 15388.430906
2025-12-07 38.222454 69.366953 134.168920 299.734339 804.360092 2769.979023 17264.178514
2025-12-14 36.267422 66.650751 131.010170 299.595795 833.065389 3040.700657 21489.259591
2025-12-21 34.665024 64.521339 128.925906 302.002172 871.463641 3384.509136 27517.112384
2025-12-28 34.314460 64.989469 132.836743 321.765778 978.586657 4160.421393 42006.961451
2026-01-04 33.803638 65.059762 135.820103 339.570158 1086.335284 5053.520811 64328.484265
2026-01-11 32.198690 62.590899 132.398881 337.679224 1115.815746 5506.818836 82427.762983